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Browns at Broncos Preview

September 17, 2009 (Happy Constitution Day! Seriously, it really is Constitution Day. Look it up.)

I wish I were writing this column a little closer to game time, but I'm leaving town tonight for a bachelor party weekend. So I'm not going to have the mental faculty to write anything. In fact, I doubt I will string together a coherent sentence this weekend. So I bring you my thoughts on this weekend's Browns game now.

Last week I picked the Vikings to win 27-13 in a game not as close as the score indicated. I was kinda close. I got the right winner and right score differential. The second half was not really competitive. The Vikings dominated. I see a different story this week. I see a Browns win. Something like 24-16. The Broncos defense is not as good as last week's score against the Bungles indicates. Champ Bailey is great, that's a given. D.J. Williams and Elvis Dumervil are solid players. Brian Dawkins belongs in Canton someday, but he isn't who he used to be. The defensive line is far from the type of unit you would want in a 3-4 defense. If Jamal Lewis was able to get 5.2 yard per carry against Minnesota (albeit with limited chances) he should find some good running room against Denver. I'm going to make a big prediction here, Jamal Lewis cracks the century mark against Denver. He does it on the final Browns possession while they are running out the clock. I see something like 27 carries for 106 yards for Jamal and a TD. This may be his best game of the season. It's early enough the wear and tear is minimal on Jamal. The Denver D may have a false sense of confidence after last week. The Denver D is also in it's second real game since switching to the 3-4. Also, the Denver D isn't that good.

The Broncos offense has talent. Brandon Marshall is one of the most gifted (and possibly insane) receivers in the league. I love his talent. Eddie Royal isn't as good as some may think, but he is very good. He killed Brandon McDonald last year, resulting in McDonald's memorable one play benching the next week. Kyle Orton may not seem to be much to worry about, but the guy wins football games. Denver can always run as long as their linemen can go after the opposing defense's knees. However, I think Rob Ryan will be able to get pressure on Orton. I think Brandon Marshall still isn't where he should be after his training camp experience. I think Brandon McDonald has a great game using last season as a motivator. I think Kamerion Wimbley continues to make plays and makes it 2-for-2 in getting at games with a sack this season. I think Shaun Rogers has a great game because he's Shaun Rogers.

I think we see a back and forth battle. The key play will come sometime in the third quarter when the Browns will pull away a little bit. I see either a really smart play by BQ or a big return by Josh Cribbs (please pay him!) as the catalyst to the Browns opening up a little lead. I see the Browns actually showing some Mangini-instilled discipline and finishing off the Broncos in the 4th for a big road win and a 1-1 record.

When I end up being waaaaaaayyyyyyy off on Sunday, feel free to heckle me in the comments section.

Jack Bacevice

2 comments:

  1. you're way off, and its only Friday!!

    Another good column!

    ReplyDelete
  2. I'd say that's a pretty good prediction,pretty close to my thoughts on this week.

    ReplyDelete